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    January 03, 2007

    Cape Town prediction

    Ridiculous batting by the middle order has meant that India only scored 414 in the first innings at Cape Town. India slipped from 200/1 to 414 all out, with Dravid, Tendulkar and Laxman, all getting starts but not going on to make a century on what seems to be a fairly easy pitch to bat on.

    Virender Sehwag finally breathed easy, providing some much needed impetus, but after he got out, the rest of the batting collapsed. India's lower order has scored valuable runs in the previous two tests. They've put helped the side go from 205/8 to 249 ao & 148/7 to 236 ao at Johannesburg and 179/7 to 240 ao at Durban. But they couldn't hang around with Sourav Ganguly this time.

    My prediction is that South Africa will fall short of India's total, by around 50 runs, but blow away India for around 150 in the second innings, and then easily score the 200-odd and win the series 2-1.

    Update: My alternative prediction (after seeing South Africa end on 144/1) is that South Africa will score 450, bowl out India for 150 and chase down 100-odd and win the series 2-1.

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    January 02, 2007

    Deja vu all over again - part VI

    This is just too much of a coincidence. Thrice in a year, India have squandered opportunities to win a crucial test match when a key player in the opposition has been absent.

    First, when Inzamam (no less!), missed the Karachi test with a bad back, India messed up despite Irfan Pathan's dream start to the game.

    A month later, with Steve Harmison missing out at Mumbai due to shin problems, India cocked up yet again. Of course, you could argue if Harmison was a key player for England, but it still sucked!

    On Saturday, I got a lovely birthday present, with a spineless batting display (the 150 runs scored by South Africa's lower order in both innings proved so vital!), India allowed South Africa to draw level, like I'd warned, despite the absence of Jacques Kallis.

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