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    January 03, 2007

    Cape Town prediction

    Ridiculous batting by the middle order has meant that India only scored 414 in the first innings at Cape Town. India slipped from 200/1 to 414 all out, with Dravid, Tendulkar and Laxman, all getting starts but not going on to make a century on what seems to be a fairly easy pitch to bat on.

    Virender Sehwag finally breathed easy, providing some much needed impetus, but after he got out, the rest of the batting collapsed. India's lower order has scored valuable runs in the previous two tests. They've put helped the side go from 205/8 to 249 ao & 148/7 to 236 ao at Johannesburg and 179/7 to 240 ao at Durban. But they couldn't hang around with Sourav Ganguly this time.

    My prediction is that South Africa will fall short of India's total, by around 50 runs, but blow away India for around 150 in the second innings, and then easily score the 200-odd and win the series 2-1.

    Update: My alternative prediction (after seeing South Africa end on 144/1) is that South Africa will score 450, bowl out India for 150 and chase down 100-odd and win the series 2-1.

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    Thus spake Jagadish @ 10:37 PM |
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    4 sledge(s):

    Geez, Jagadish. Talk about pessimism. India will not be blown away that easily in the second innings. And chances are we'll win this Test.

    By Blogger Pratik (05-Jan-2007, 11:14:00 AM)  

    That first prediction is looking pretty spooky right now...

    By Blogger Geoff (05-Jan-2007, 7:01:00 PM)  

    pratik: I wish I could have been optimistic. But at the same time, I was trying to invoke my well-established predictive powers! :)

    geoff: Indeed it is. Far too prescient! The shots played so far have been horrendous, the run scoring rate is a crawl (Harris is conceding 2.1 rpo, Pollock is conceding 1.4) ... these don't look anywhere close to numbers you'd expect from a team looking to WIN!

    By Blogger Jagadish (05-Jan-2007, 7:22:00 PM)  

    I wasn't too off the mark, was I? Damn. I could have made a lot of money. I wonder what the odds were, at that point in time when I made the post!

    By Blogger Jagadish (08-Jan-2007, 10:41:00 AM)  

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