IPL 2010 semi-final prediction
We're pretty much at the half-way stage of the league round of the 2010 IPL
. At this point in time, Mumbai, with 6 wins from 7 games
is the runaway leader, and has definitely sewn up a semi-final slot.
The remaining 3 are the tough ones to predict. In 2008, 7 wins was enough for Delhi to sneak into the semis
ahead of Mumbai. In 2009, Hyderabad sneaked in ahead of Mohali
though both had 7 wins.
So it is fair to say that 7 wins out of the 14 games (i.e. winning 50% of the games) should be sufficient. Bangalore, Jaipur and Delhi have 4 wins. Hyderabad and Kolkata have 3 wins. Chennai has 2 and Mohali has 1.
That said, momentum is a huge factor, and teams can get going with just 2-3 wins in a row.
The arrival of players from Australia, England and New Zealand will be a significant factor. Which teams are likely to benefit?
Bangalore: Pietersen, Steven Smith and Ross Taylor are the new arrivals. Bangalore's batting has been awesome, especially their top 3-4. But Kohli, Dravid, White & Morgan have been untested and with Pietersen & Taylor joining, this would mean Morgan and possibly White being left out.
Chennai: Hussey and Ntini are the new arrivals, with Ntini returning from injury. They should really have found some hospital as a sponsor given how much they've invested in Flintoff, Oram and Ntini. The bowling leaks far too many runs, and Ntini won't actually change the status quo.
Delhi: Daniel Vettori. This could mean Mishra and Vettori bowling in tandem. So unless Maharoof has a couple of excellent games, he'll be sitting out.
Hyderabad: No new arrivals.
Jaipur: No new arrivals.
Kolkata: McCullum. Their batting has really been pathetic, clicking twice and their highest total is only 180-odd. So his entry will hopefully result in some better performances in the first 5-10 overs.
Mohali: No new arrivals - Hopes is injured.
Mumbai: No new arrivals.
Given the influx, it is quite possible that Bangalore and Kolkata will make it to the semi-finals along with Mumbai provided Kolkata's bowlers learn something from Wasim. Between Delhi and Hyderabad, I'd go for Delhi because their bowling is better than Hyderabad's.
So the semi-final lineup will be Mumbai, Bangalore, Delhi and Kolkata (in order of points from the league stage).
Labels: indian premier league, ipl 2010, prediction, twenty20